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Today's D Brief: Russia’s staggering losses; SecNav blasts industry; USAF eyes stealth tanker; Navy’s shipboard coders; And a bit more.

February 16, 2024
in Defense
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“At the least 315,000 Russian forces have both been killed or wounded” throughout the ongoing warfare in Ukraine, a senior U.S. protection official instructed reporters Friday morning. That’s the identical estimate leaked to Reuters in December, citing declassified U.S. intelligence. One 12 months in the past, that estimate was nearer to 180,000. 

Russia has not sustained so many casualties in fight for the reason that Second World Struggle. Certainly, Moscow’s army had already suffered extra fight deaths in Ukraine throughout the first 12 months than in all of its wars since World Struggle II mixed, because the Heart for Strategic and Worldwide Research identified one 12 months in the past.

Ukrainian forces have additionally sunk, destroyed or broken not less than 20 medium to giant Russian navy vessels and one Russian-flagged tanker within the Black Sea. “I feel it’s necessary to have a look at the story of the Black Sea,” the official stated Friday, as a result of Ukraine has considerably eroded Russian naval energy and that in flip has elevated the dependability of Ukrainian grain exports.

When it comes to economics, “Russia has most likely spent as much as $211 billion {dollars} in direct monetary outlays to equip, deploy, keep and maintain Russian operations in Ukraine” to this point, the official stated. The warfare has additionally value Russia an estimated $10 billion in postponed or canceled arms gross sales and $1.3 trillion in beforehand anticipated financial development by means of 2026.

These estimates come as future U.S. monetary assist to Ukraine lingers within the Republican-led Home of Representatives. Practically two dozen Republican senators joined their Democratic colleagues earlier this week passing new funding for Ukraine. However the Home stays mired in what David Frum of The Atlantic calls the “politics of domination,” with Home Speaker Mike Johnson to this point refusing to think about a funding path ahead. 

“We won’t be able to provide Ukraine’s air defenses” with out extra funding from a supplemental assist invoice, the protection official stated Friday. This implies, partly, that the destruction of many extra Ukrainian cities is just about assured if the U.S. doesn’t step up. “We’ll see extra civilians dying, and we’ll see Ukraine struggling to guard their important infrastructure and their ahead line of troops,” the official warned. 

The U.S., after all, isn’t the one nation chipping in. In actual fact, the U.S. is the sixteenth on this planet when it comes to contributions to Ukraine primarily based on GDP. (See who leads the best way by way of this rolling evaluation from the Kiel Institute for the World Economic system.) Different nations this week promised to do extra as effectively, together with Canada pledging $60 million for Ukraine’s air drive, the Brits approving a £2.5 billion package deal final month, together with cash for drones; and Germany’s €1.3 billion package deal, with artillery and air protection programs and gear, introduced in November.

That UK drone program will bear its first fruit in an effort, co-led by Latvia, to purchase hundreds of quadcopter-type drones to be used as loitering munitions, Protection One’s Sam Skove reported Thursday.

New: Vladimir Putin is urging Russians to have extra infants, he instructed staff of a tank manufacturing facility on Thursday. “If we wish to survive as an ethnic group— effectively, or as ethnic teams inhabiting Russia—there have to be not less than two youngsters” per household, he stated, based on Reuters. 

For some context, Russia’s inhabitants was simply over 146 million final January, which is “down from almost 149 million 20 years earlier however up from a low of about 143 million between 2007 and 2012,” Reuters writes. 

Further studying: 

Welcome to this Friday version of The D Transient, dropped at you by Ben Watson with Bradley Peniston. Share your e-newsletter ideas, studying suggestions, or suggestions for the 12 months forward right here. And when you’re not already subscribed, you are able to do that right here. On at the present time in 1814, the frigate Structure captured the British ship Susannah, although the Struggle of 1812 had been over for about six weeks. The Structure stays in fee in Boston and is the one present U.S. warship that has sunk an enemy vessel.

SecNav blasts business for inventory buybacks. Protection contractors are utilizing an excessive amount of of their document income to line their pockets as a substitute of accelerating manufacturing capability, Navy Secretary Carlos del Toro stated Thursday. 

“General, a lot of you make document income, as evidenced by your quarterly monetary statements,” Del Toro instructed the group on the AFCEA West convention. “You possibly can’t be asking for the American taxpayer to make higher public investments when you proceed to goose your inventory costs by means of inventory buybacks, deferring promised capital investments, and different accounting maneuvers.”

A warning: The secretary stated the Navy is already seeking to “guarantee that we’ll leverage all authorized means at our disposal to make sure that the American individuals are getting what they paid for” by way of its normal counsel’s workplace and a device referred to as the Taxpayer Advocacy Venture, he stated. D1’s Patrick Tucker stories from San Diego.

Talking of the commercial base, the lead creator of the Pentagon’s new industrial-base technique writes that the doc fills a necessity for a plan that “revitalizes our protection manufacturing and expertise provide chains to out-compete our adversaries.” Learn the oped by Laura Taylor-Kale, assistant protection secretary for industrial base coverage, in D1, right here.

Stealth tanker: The Air Drive’s future refueling fleet will embrace not less than some plane with “beautiful capabilities” that may fly into “excessive menace areas,” the chief of Air Mobility Command says. However the bulk of the tanker fleet might be updates on as we speak’s typical plane, Gen. Mike Minihan, commander of instructed reporters Wednesday on the Air & House Forces Affiliation Warfare Symposium right here.

Quote: “It isn’t one airplane. It is a system, so it isn’t one-size-fits-all. I am not seeking to develop a fleet that has to deal with each menace setting.” D1’s Audrey Decker has extra, right here. 

F-35 manufacturing will stay regular, whilst world demand rises and the Pentagon reportedly mulls a one-year lower, a Lockheed official instructed Decker. Learn on, right here.

And lastly: The Navy needs extra shipboard coders. Capt. Bryan Braswell, who leads the Naval Data Warfighting Improvement Heart, is impressed with the best way some sailors have put their largely self-taught coding and data-science expertise to work at their instructions. He urges each commander to encourage this type of innovation, and is mulling how you can formalize it—maybe by means of coaching or necessities. He talked with D1’s Lauren C. Williams; learn extra, right here.

Have a protected weekend, everybody. We’re off for Presidents Day, so we’ll see you once more Tuesday!

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Tags: bitblastscoderseyesIndustryLossesNavysRussiasSECNAVshipboardstaggeringStealthtankerToday039sUSAF
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