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How the Extended Range BrahMos Changes the India-Pakistan Deterrence Equation

January 22, 2024
in Defense
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In line with studies from Indian media, in lower than a month, the Indian army has examined extended-range (ER) BrahMos missiles from varied platforms, together with a ground-based launcher, a naval vessel, and a fighter plane. The latest checks recommend efforts to reinforce the reliability, vary, and precision of the BrahMos missile. These are vital developments. Final yr an unauthorized missile landed in Pakistan, which raised severe issues in regards to the missile’s functioning and Indian command and management techniques.

The checks are being carried out as a preliminary section earlier than the official induction of improved and upgraded BrahMos missiles into the Indian army. India’s efforts to improve the cruise missile point out a robust dedication to enhancing its counter-force capabilities, which has opposed implications for strategic stability within the South Asian area. 

The BrahMos is a nuclear-capable supersonic cruise missile designed and constructed collaboratively between India and Russia. Able to touring at speeds of as much as Mach 3, it is likely one of the world’s quickest cruise missiles. The BrahMo possesses the capability to hold a warhead weighing 300 kilograms, encompassing each typical and nuclear payloads. The missile is the only real system contained in the Indian arsenal that possesses the potential to be deployed from a number of platforms together with air, sea, and land. 

As well as, the cruise missile reveals a spread of trajectories, similar to excessive, high-low, low, and surface-skim, in distinction to ballistic missiles, that are propelled for under half of their journey and comply with a pre-defined parabolic trajectory. A BrahMos missile’s trajectory can’t be predicted so simply, which makes it tough to counter missile defenses.

The latest launches marked the primary time that every one three ER missiles had been examined one after the opposite in fast succession. The testing commenced with the firing of an extended-range surface-to-surface land-attack model of the BrahMos from a ground-based launcher on October 10. The vary was elevated between 450-500 kilometers, from the preliminary vary of 290 kilometers, in line with Janes. The brand new missile was an improved model of the unique missile in different methods as effectively. Apart from growing in vary, its accuracy was improved by introducing an lively radar seeker.

Indian Military sources revealed to the press that this train was a part of induction trials. This demonstrates that the brand new system can be inducted quickly and develop into an operational a part of the Indian Military. 

Following the bottom take a look at, the ER air-launched model of the BrahMos was examined on October 18, from an Indian Air Drive Su-30 MKI fighter jet, the one present platform within the IAF arsenal with the potential to launch the BrahMos. The missile examined “was the longer model” of the supersonic BrahMos air-launched system, in line with Indian media. 

The ER missile has a vary between 400-500 kilometers, with the flexibility to strike targets each at sea and on land. The brand new functionality would enable the IAF to strike targets from standoff ranges and from exterior the edges of enemy air defenses. 

Final got here the firing of an ER missile by the Indian Navy from a vessel within the Bay of Bengal on November 1. It was launched from a Rajput-class destroyer, the first within the Indian Navy to combine with the BrahMos system. 

These are a number of notable takeaways. For the primary time in historical past, the extended-range missiles had been examined from throughout all platforms. Exams are a part of the ultimate trials to ensure that the design, technical parameters, and efficiency of the completely different components of the missile system are correctly functioning. Furthermore, the a number of checks will assist guarantee there aren’t any future unintended and unauthorized launches of the missile system. Lastly, the timing, synergy, and post-launch statements point out that the ER missiles are about to enter into service quickly.

The improved vary BrahMos missiles will complicate the India-Pakistan deterrence equation. India already had the temptation to launch a counter-force strike towards Pakistan. It’s constantly in pursuit of buying precision strike techniques to successfully execute a counter-force strike. The BrahMos ER is a continuation of this and it’ll actually fulfill its present coverage targets. 

Now India could have a strategic functionality to strike targets deep inside Pakistan’s territory with a standoff precision-strike weapon that’s extraordinarily tough to intercept due to its maneuverability and excessive velocity. This may adversely have an effect on the present nuclear deterrence dynamics as the brand new vary will carry distant targets inside vary of the BrahMos, in addition to improve Indian precision strike capabilities.

One may ask: Why does this extended-range BrahMos alter the stability of deterrence between each states, as Pakistan’s complete territory is already inside vary of Indian ballistic missiles? The reply lies within the precision, velocity, range, and maneuverability of the BrahMos, which makes it completely different from the remainder of the techniques presently in service. First, as famous, ballistic missiles comply with a pre-defined path, which makes them much less helpful for concentrating on cellular floor launchers. Second, they lack precision. The BrahMos’ strengths in these areas makes it an ideal counter-force weapon. 

Additionally, it’s the solely weapon system that may be launched from both a transport erect launcher, naval ship, or fighter jet. Thus, these traits make it a primary weapon of alternative for Indian decision-makers. 

The ER BrahMos missile will improve the potential dangers of a primary strike by India throughout any future disaster in South Asia, which is able to undermine the strategic stability in South Asia. 

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Tags: BrahMosDeterrenceEquationextendedIndiaPakistanRange
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